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Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.

I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!Yesterday, Black Thursday was circumvented by the favorable intraday trading and mysterious fund blessing. Unfortunately, the favorable market released by the after-hours heavy meeting not only did not have a high premium today, but triggered the smashing behavior of low opening and low walking. What's the solution? In fact, the policy expectations have long been full, but no actual actions have been seen. It is not surprising that the market chose to die. At least the gold content of the small high point suggested by Lao Liu on Tuesday continues to rise.In terms of sectors, except for cultural media, games, tourist hotels, textiles and clothing, the other sectors have generally declined. It can be said that today is a day for traditional consumption and new consumption in gallants, but other sectors have become a foil! The drop list is very unexpected. Insurance has started bungee jumping in the past two days. Traditional industries and technology growth stocks have no difference, and the style is magical.

So, as I emphasized above, the market can go up for 12 days on expectations, but if it is delayed, it is expected to be exhausted one day. There was a lot of noise about letting water out, but the faucet was tightened, and a lock was added without saying anything. Who can stand it! Today's plunge does not rule out the intention of forcing the above to continue to release water, and see if it will be introduced at the weekend.Emotionally, there are 98 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 262 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit stocks have finally been suppressed under 100, but the daily limit stocks are almost meaningless. Simply speaking, the market restructuring structure is not over yet, and those who like to play the relay have not felt the pain. It is necessary to squeeze these funds out of the junk ticket.By the way, there will be an interest rate resolution of America next week. Even if there is no favorable interest rate reduction or interest rate reduction this week, it is estimated that it should be issued next week. In addition, the fund ranking war will start at the end of the year, and the second-class stocks should be the main tone! I wish you all a happy weekend. Don't be affected by today's plunge. We will fight again next week!